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USD/JPY Technical Analysis March 25, 2025

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USD/JPY Technical Analysis March 25, 2025

As of 8:00 AM GMT on March 25, 2025, the USD/JPY currency pair is trading around 150.56 yen per US dollar, reflecting a recent peak of 150.92 yen.

Current Price Levels and Technical Indicators:

  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is approaching 70, indicating that the pair is nearing overbought territory.

  • Moving Averages: The pair is trading above both the 50-period and 200-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA), reinforcing the bullish outlook.

Support and Resistance Levels:

Key levels to monitor include:

  • Support:

    • 150.00: A psychological level that may provide immediate support.

    • 149.50: Aligned with the 50-period SMA, offering dynamic support.

    • 149.00: Corresponds to the 200-period SMA.

  • Resistance:

    • 151.00: A significant round number and potential resistance level.

    • 151.50: A static level observed in recent sessions.

    • 152.00: A key resistance level that could cap further gains.

Fundamental Factors:

Several fundamental elements are influencing the USD/JPY pair:

  • U.S. Economic Data: Strong U.S. services data have bolstered the dollar, with recent developments indicating that not all threatened tariffs would be imposed on April 2, alleviating some market concerns.

  • Trade Policies: Anticipation of U.S. tariff announcements has contributed to market volatility, with some countries potentially receiving exemptions, which has helped alleviate fears of a U.S. economic slowdown.

  • Market Sentiment: The dollar reached a three-week high against the yen, supported by positive U.S. data and cautious optimism regarding trade policies.

Conclusion:

The USD/JPY pair is trading near recent highs, supported by strong U.S. economic data and positive market sentiment regarding trade policies. Key support levels are at 150.00 and 149.50, while resistance is anticipated at 151.00 and 151.50. Traders should monitor upcoming economic releases and developments in trade policy, as these will significantly influence the pair’s direction.

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