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USD/CAD Technical Analysis March 19, 2025

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USD/CAD Technical Analysis March 19, 2025

As of 5:00 AM GMT on March 19, 2025, the USD/CAD currency pair is trading around 1.4290, reflecting a slight decrease of approximately 0.1% from the previous session.

Current Price Levels and Technical Indicators:

  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently at 63, approaching overbought conditions but still indicating room for upward movement.

  • Moving Averages:

    • 21-period Simple Moving Average (SMA): The price is trading above the 21 SMA, suggesting a short-term bullish trend.
    • 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The pair remains above the 200 EMA, reinforcing the longer-term bullish outlook.

Support and Resistance Levels:

  • Immediate Support: The nearest support is identified at 1.4245. A break below this level could lead to further declines toward 1.4215.

  • Immediate Resistance: The pair faces resistance at 1.4405, with a significant psychological barrier at 1.4415. A sustained move above this level could signal continued bullish momentum.

Fundamental Factors:

  • Oil Prices: As Canada is a major oil exporter, fluctuations in oil prices can significantly impact the CAD. Recent volatility in global oil markets may influence the USD/CAD exchange rate.

  • Economic Data: Upcoming releases of Canadian GDP and U.S. employment figures could provide insights into economic performance, potentially affecting the currency pair’s movement.

Conclusion:

The USD/CAD pair exhibits a cautiously bullish stance, trading above key moving averages with an RSI approaching overbought levels. Traders should monitor the 1.4405 resistance and 1.4245 support levels closely. Upcoming economic data releases and oil price movements are likely to introduce volatility, necessitating attentive risk management.

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