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USD CAD Technical Analysis March 12, 2025

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USD/CAD Technical Analysis March 12, 2025

As of March 12, 2025, the USD/CAD currency pair has experienced notable movements influenced by various technical and fundamental factors. This analysis provides insights into the current price levels, technical indicators, support and resistance levels, and underlying fundamental factors.

Current Price Levels and Technical Indicators:

The USD/CAD pair is currently trading around 1.4410, reflecting a 0.2% increase from the previous close. Key technical indicators are as follows:

  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): The 14-day RSI is at 80%, indicating overbought conditions.
  • Moving Averages: The pair is trading above the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend.

Support and Resistance Levels:

Identifying crucial support and resistance levels is essential for anticipating potential price movements:

  • Immediate Resistance: The first resistance level is at 1.4510, followed by the second resistance at 1.4586, and the third at 1.4650.
  • Support Levels: The immediate support level is at 1.4370, with subsequent supports at 1.4306 and 1.4230.

Fundamental Factors:

Several fundamental factors are influencing the USD/CAD pair:

  • Trade Relations: Recent developments indicate that the Canadian dollar recovered from a one-week low against the U.S. dollar as American and Canadian officials agreed to meet to discuss escalating trade tensions.
  • Monetary Policy: The Bank of Canada is anticipated to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, with further cuts expected by year-end, which could impact the currency pair.
  • Oil Prices: As a major exporter of oil, Canada’s currency is influenced by oil price movements. Oil prices have settled higher, potentially supporting the Canadian dollar.

Conclusion:

The USD/CAD pair is currently exhibiting bullish momentum, with overbought technical indicators suggesting caution. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels, along with upcoming economic data releases and geopolitical developments, to make informed decisions.

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