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EUR/USD Technical Analysis April 11, 2025

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EUR/USD Technical Analysis April 11, 2025

Current Price Levels and Technical Indicators:

As of 7:00 GMT on April 11, 2025, the EUR/USD pair is trading at approximately 1.1335, marking its highest level in three years.

Technical indicators reflect strong bullish momentum:

  • Moving Averages: The pair is trading above key moving averages, including the 20-day and 50-day MAs, indicating a sustained uptrend.

  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is in overbought territory, suggesting strong buying pressure, though caution is warranted for potential pullbacks.

  • MACD: The MACD indicator supports further upside, with bullish crossovers reinforcing the current trend.

Support and Resistance Levels:

  • Immediate Resistance: The next resistance level is around 1.1383, a recent intraday high.

  • Support Levels: Key support is observed at 1.1200, with further support at 1.1000, aligning with previous consolidation zones.

Fundamental Factors:

The EUR/USD’s recent surge is influenced by several fundamental factors:

  • US Dollar Weakness: The USD has come under pressure due to disappointing inflation data, which missed estimates, leading to speculation about potential shifts in monetary policy.

  • Trade Tensions: Escalating trade tensions, particularly between the US and China, have led to increased market volatility, with investors seeking refuge in the Euro.

  • Capital Flows: There is a notable capital shift from North America to Europe, driven by concerns over the US economic outlook, further supporting the Euro.

Conclusion:

The EUR/USD pair exhibits strong bullish momentum, reaching multi-year highs amid a weakening US dollar and heightened global trade tensions. While technical indicators support continued upside, traders should remain cautious of potential pullbacks, especially given the overbought RSI levels. Monitoring upcoming economic data and geopolitical developments will be crucial in assessing the pair’s future trajectory.

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