Crude Oil Technical Analysis April 4, 2025
Current Price Levels and Technical Indicators:
As of 8:00 AM GMT on April 4, 2025, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is trading at approximately $66.95 per barrel.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is approaching oversold territory, indicating potential bearish momentum.
Moving Averages:
The price is trading below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which is positioned at $70.90, suggesting a bearish trend.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
Immediate support is observed at $66.50.
Further support is noted at $65.00.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance is at $70.00.
A higher resistance level is identified at $71.50.
Fundamental Factors:
Recent developments influencing crude oil prices include:
U.S. Tariff Announcements: President Donald Trump announced new tariffs, imposing a 10% baseline duty on all imports, with higher rates for certain countries. This has raised concerns about a potential trade war and its impact on global economic growth, leading to a decline in oil prices.
OPEC+ Production Increase: The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) decided to increase oil production, adding to supply concerns and exerting downward pressure on prices.
Market Reactions: The combination of increased supply from OPEC+ and fears of reduced demand due to escalating trade tensions has led to significant declines in oil prices, with WTI crude experiencing its steepest percentage loss since 2022.
Conclusion:
Crude oil prices are currently under pressure due to a confluence of bearish factors, including increased supply from OPEC+ and heightened trade tensions stemming from recent U.S. tariff announcements. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, with prices trading below key moving averages and approaching oversold conditions. Traders should closely monitor geopolitical developments and OPEC+ actions, as these factors are likely to significantly influence oil price movements in the near term.