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GBP/USD Technical Analysis for March 20, 2025

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GBP/USD Technical Analysis for March 20, 2025

As of 10:00 AM GMT on March 20, 2025, the GBP/USD currency pair is trading at approximately 1.2975.

Current Price Levels and Technical Indicators:

  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently positioned near 60, indicating moderate bullish momentum without immediate overbought conditions.

  • Moving Averages:

    • 21-period Simple Moving Average (SMA): The pair is trading above the 21 SMA on the hourly chart, suggesting a short-term bullish trend.
    • 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The price remains above the 200 EMA, reinforcing a longer-term bullish outlook.

Support and Resistance Levels:

  • Immediate Support: The nearest support is identified at 1.2909.
  • Immediate Resistance: The pair faces resistance at 1.3031, with a significant psychological barrier at 1.3000.

Fundamental Factors:

  • Federal Reserve Policies: The Federal Reserve has indicated potential rate cuts later this year, projecting two quarter-point rate reductions and maintaining the overnight rate at 4.25%-4.50%. This dovish stance has contributed to a weaker U.S. dollar, influencing the GBP/USD pair.

  • Bank of England Decision: Investors are awaiting the Bank of England’s rate decision later today. The pound recently reached its highest level since early November, reflecting market anticipation of the central bank’s policy stance.

  • Geopolitical Developments: Scheduled discussions between U.S. and Russian leaders may impact market sentiment, particularly concerning the Russia-Ukraine situation.

Conclusion:

The GBP/USD pair exhibits a cautiously bullish stance, trading above key moving averages with moderately positive RSI readings. Traders should monitor the 1.3031 resistance and 1.2909 support levels closely. Upcoming central bank announcements and geopolitical events are likely to introduce volatility, necessitating attentive risk management.

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