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USD/CAD Technical Analysis March 4, 2025

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USD/CAD Technical Analysis March 4, 2025

In the past few hours, the USD/CAD currency pair has exhibited notable bullish momentum, reflecting the dynamic nature of the forex market. This analysis examines the current price levels, technical indicators, support and resistance levels, fundamental factors, and concludes with an outlook for traders.

Current Price Levels and Technical Indicators:

As of the latest data, the USD/CAD pair is trading around 1.4469, having breached this resistance level and ending the previous session above it. This clear break supports expectations of a continued bullish trend in the intraday and short-term basis, confirming the cessation of the recent bearish correction. The pair is now poised to target the next positive level at 1.4595.

Support and Resistance Levels:

  • Immediate Resistance: 1.4595 – This level represents the next positive target following the breach of the 1.4469 resistance.
  • Secondary Resistance: 1.4791 – A retest of this high is anticipated if the bullish momentum continues.
  • Immediate Support: 1.4368 – Identified as a minor support level, a decline below this could signal a potential shift in intraday bias to neutral.
  • Secondary Support: 1.4325 – A break below this level could indicate a breakout of the lower boundary of the bullish correction channel, suggesting further downside potential.

Fundamental Factors:

The recent appreciation of the USD/CAD pair is influenced by several fundamental factors. The anticipation of U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods has added pressure on the Canadian dollar, increasing demand for the U.S. dollar. Additionally, fluctuations in crude oil prices have played a significant role in the movement of the pair, as the Canadian dollar is closely correlated with oil prices. Stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve policy expectations have also contributed to the recent bullish momentum.

Conclusion:

The USD/CAD pair is currently maintaining its bullish trend, supported by favorable technical indicators and fundamental factors. Traders should closely monitor key support and resistance levels, as price movements beyond these levels could indicate potential trading opportunities. Additionally, keeping an eye on economic data releases and geopolitical developments is crucial for anticipating future market trends.

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